Flooding – Yorkshire

Flooding in Airedale 26th Dec 2015. Photo: Stella New

Horrendous flooding

I witnessed the flooding in West and North Yorkshire first hand yesterday during a visit to my sister-in-law.  I also needed to consume the news on the flooding as it happened in order to plan a return journey. The flooding news varied from excellent, live coverage by BBC Radio Leeds & BBC Radio York, to misleading (BBC travel website version), to surprisingly useless (the Environment Agency website).  This blog post therefore asks some questions of the quality, and usefulness, of the information available.

Flooding in Airedale 26th Dec 2015. Photo: Stella New
Flooding in Airedale 26th Dec 2015. Photo: Stella New

Sadly the flooding is escalating, getting into new areas today as the water flows downstream.  The scale of it is awesome in the genuine sense of the word.  One can see how such monster floods in the past led to legends and fables such as Noah’s flood being passed down the generations until being later written down and preserved.

Excellence of local radio

I am a retired Emergency Planning Officer with experience of major flood events, including the Ouse in York. From that experience I appreciate (a) the difficulty of getting accurate information from an ever-changing live situation but also (b) that it is vital to make accurate information available to both responders and the general public.

The scale of this flooding caught people out.  As a family we had a Boxing Day meet up planned with two car loads driving over into Airedale.  The advance weather forecast was for rain and my daughter and I discussed our driving plans so as to avoid a few bits of road that we anticipated might have some surface water flooding.  The significance of that discussion will be seen later.  On the day it was much wetter than expected but at departure time it did not seem bad enough to abort or delay for 24-hours.

As we drove over, local radio were reporting the unfolding scale of the issue, and that became visually apparent the nearer we got to our destination, although Airedale, at that stage, was not as badly affected as Calderdale. We also began to hear that the roads we had anticipated in advance to avoid due to possible surface water were now flooded and shut!  Although Calderdale was getting the worst of it, the Aire and tributaries were also rapidly rising, the normally placid River Worth was like a white water rapids course and some low lying sports fields passed were inundated to almost the 8ft soccer crossbar height, around 6-7ft of water!

Flood warnings which didn’t appear

Local knowledge of the possible routes back to York suggested that either the A658 or A58 might become flooded where they crossed and ran near the River Wharfe, therefore prudently the Environment Agency website was checked.  This is bearing in mind the Wharfe was already flooding roads and properties upstream of both points. At 12 noon there was no flood warning in place for either Pool in Wharfedale or Collingham, either as a current or expected later scenario. This was extremely worrying.  By the time we came to leave at 2pm the A658 at Pool in Wharfedale was, predictably, flooding and only passable with care but still no warning for Collingham was being given by the EA on-line.  The equally predictable closure of the A58 was announced by live traffic news as we headed eastwards.

What is worrying with this scenario is that if someone with a bit of local knowledge can predict these potential flood spots 36 hours beforehand based on weather forecasts, why was there no on-line EA warning of even the lowest risk level?  We did not predict a biblical deluge, but equally neither did the Met Office issue a red-warning until it was almost on top of the area on Friday morning.  Collingham flooded around 2-45 to 3pm, the Wharfe by this time had already flooded upstream at Ilkley, Burley in Wharfedale and Otley, I knew it was highly likely to flood, it was after all why I had checked the EA website. If I knew that, why didn’t they?  If I had chosen that way to get home the potential was there to be stranded.

The broadcast media constantly advise citizens to check the EA website for the latest information, obviously in anticipation of reliable data.  Based on yesterday’s random sampling of quality – the question has to be asked, what is the point of the EA website flood warning system in the current configuration if expected, and obviously predictable, floods are not being added/displayed?  It was not possible to check whether there is an issue with full content only available via desk-top browsers, with slimmed down data content versions automatically adjusting for viewing on smaller mobile phone screens.  That is an issue for future checking, but if it  is occurring it adds to the problems.

All this is worrying as my main residence is in flood-prone rural West Dorset; when you are out and about you only have a mobile to access the system, and even that assumes access to a signal.  Data coverage, and the lack of it in rural areas, is of course another issue.

Travel news that isn’t accurate

Information should be accurate, however, and update information correctly applied; sadly that was not the case yesterday.  Not only was some travel news misleading, out of date and inaccurate, the BBC were giving opposing messages dependant on which of their media channels you were accessing. I have already mentioned local knowledge, again this appeared to suggest issues with quality of the data accessible for route planning, and where strangers to the area would potentially opt for routes taking them into, rather than away from, potential danger.

I give two examples from yesterday afternoon.  On the morning run part of the A6120 Leeds ring-road near Meanwood had begun to flood as we headed west around 10:30am.  As by the afternoon the expectation was it would have flooded, the BBC local travel service on the internet was checked, with nothing showing as a closure.  As we drove towards it no closure was being mentioned in the local radio’s on-going broadcast.  Arriving at the location, however, we found it was shut, forcing a diversion.  The diversion was unsigned, that is understandable, given how many blockages were in place, but the lack of radio and travel website notification that one of the major routes within the area was shut, and probably had been so for sometime,  was perhaps not!

Equally problematically, the A64 near Tadcaster was being shown on-line by BBC Travel as only passable with care and long delays to traffic; as that was not being broadcast as a current issue, we gambled on that info’ being obsolete.  The A58 has been mentioned already but would have been one of the alternatives.  We drove the A64, there were no problems.  On arriving home the BBC Travel website was re-checked, the false information that had been there most of the day was still present and shown as recently updated!

BBC budget cut backs are wrong

The lessons of 2007 have still not been learnt with regard to this need for quality information so as not to divert travellers into areas that are liable to be the next place to flood, trapping them.  Forcing the BBC into cut backs  will only exacerbate the scenario; weather forecasting needs to be good quality and accurate, not simply based on the cheapest available via competitive tendering.  Local radio is vital, a community asset to be expanded not slashed.

Conclusion

As a citizen sampling a largely unprecedented weather event yesterday the local radio coverage via BBC Radio Leeds was superb, informative and, as it was live with on the spot reporting, current.  Unfortunately the same could not be said of the same organisation’s on-line travel news.  It was proven by practical sampling to be inaccurate and incomplete even with regard to main A roads.  That may not be the BBC’s fault directly, but in a world where the internet is increasingly touted as the source to be turned to for breaking news and information, it is clear that as yet, the back office systems are not serving up the material. The Environment Agency was also found wanting in exactly the same way, back office systems not getting information out fast enough.

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Christmas peace

The Peace Cafe, Bethlehem. 1999. Copyright John New
Christmas peace message - Candles in the Church of the Nativity, Bethlehem. 1999.
Christmas peace expressed by the candles in the Church of the Nativity, Bethlehem. 1999. Image John New

Bethlehem 1999

As the header image to this part of the website shows I visited Bethlehem on a troubled day back in 1999.  As we were leaving the town following a visit to the holy sites it all kicked off, with Palestinian locals stoning the armed Israeli troops adjacent to one of the holy sites of the Jewish faith, The tomb of Rachel the Matriarch  This was all a far cry from the peace and goodwill to all message and the Christian nativity for which the town is famous worldwide and the message proudly carried (then) by a local cafe.

The Peace Cafe, Bethlehem. 1999. Copyright John New
The Peace Cafe, Bethlehem. 1999. Image John New

Regrettably the troubles which were kicking off that day in the Palestinian Territories have not stopped since, spreading and inflaming old wounds and the Middle East is now a cauldron of problems.  That it had been sufficiently quiet in the build up to our visit appears with hindsight to have been a matter of luck as I doubt it will be safe enough for a return visit for many years to come,

Bethlehem steet scene 1999
Bethlehem street scene 1999. Tourists and locals together. Image John New

Back then the souvenir shops were thriving with local men able to get employment on taxi work and all the other touristy normality.  Whilst there were guards about and security was tight there was no immediate threat.  As this report from the International Business Times states, not so in 2015, since October tourism figures are well down with all the attendant problems that brings to a town dependent on tourism for most of its income.

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Southampton bombing raid 75th anniversary

Canute Road adjacent the Old Docks with buildings old and new.

Southampton bombing raid 75th anniversary

The 1st December 2015 was an odd day radio-wise. On the way in to Uni in the morning the local radio were reminiscing about the tragic loss of life and buildings in the worst Southampton bombing raid of World War Two.  75 years ago on the night of 30th November/ 1 December the Luftwaffe’s Southampton bombing raid pasted the City. The BBC Radio Solent website has much of interest regarding the event including a map of where the bombs, totalling over 700, fell.

On the way home it was announced that our elected MPs (Regrettably mostly macho males) are going to debate more bombing of the Middle-East.

Southampton bombing raid. Canute Road adjacent the Old Docks with pre and post war buildings
Canute Road adjacent the Old Docks with buildings old and new. Copyright John New.

Bombing doesn’t work

As the Germans discovered between 1939 and 1945 blitzing the UK’s citizens did not make us surrender. As we also discovered, bombing didn’t make the Germans surrender either. As the Germans realised, and later the US also found when bombing Vietnam, Laos & Cambodia, it does not win you the war.  Those may be old wars, but the IRA terror campaign failed to win independence for Ulster, and the recent Iraq campaigns didn’t work either, hence the current mess.

Bombing isn’t a successful tactic. In this instance, arguably, it will only alienate even more civilians against western society thereby making the situation worse not better.

In a battle of hearts and minds, aggravating the enemy with high-explosives is never going to be an answer. In this instance ground assaults aren’t ideal either, given the nature of the opposition, but surely a marginally preferable option.

Updated – House of Commons vote

Regrettably, from the view of a pacifist the Guardian reports that the bombing campaign was supported by our MPs.  Time will tell if the decisions was, or was not, a correct one.  On the evidence of most recent military activity I am sceptical.

The standard journalistic approach to these bombing raids over Syria is supportive of the establishment attitude to military involvement.  It may be a personal observation but this is all a little too gung-ho for me and overly reminiscent of nineteenth century gunboat diplomacy.

 

Replacement post.

Note:  This post was originally made on 1st December.  However the earlier iteration of this blog was lost due to computer issues.  This replacement, rewritten version was uploaded on 20 December 2015.